Comprehensive modeling of climate risk in the Dominican Republic using a multivariate simulator

Abstract

This study introduces a multivariate simulation framework for assessing climate risks in the Dominican Republic. The simulator operates in two modes—climate risk evaluation and disaster management—using a unified database. This database integrates codified variables associated with global warming, hazards, vulnerabilities (including their interdependencies), and adaptive capacities, facilitating risk assessments across diverse scenarios. Simulations are initiated using predefined variable combinations, interconnected via Boolean algebra, to generate risk levels aligned with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scales. The key findings underscore the influence of specific variables within the modeled scenarios.