Caribbean scenarios 2050 : GoLoCarSce report

Abstract

The GoLoCarSce project has developed regional scenarios with input from local and regional experts using a multi-scalar technique. The storylines created describe a range of distinct socio-economic pathways which are compatible with various Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). The scenarios transcend one spatial scale and describe storylines that “uplink” to global trends (SSPs) and downscale to national models for robustness. The scenarios also include the capacity of the Caribbean to attain United Nations Sustainable Development Goals by 2030 under each scenario pathway. The aim is to provide possible future states for the Caribbean and offer a context for the case studies of this project, (i.e. water availability, forestry management, and health and disease management etc.,) and inform robust proactive policies which can adapt to various eventualities.